Research
Investment Ideas
Tracked setups, theses, and trade ideas across stocks and crypto
United Airlines
AirlinesBest risk/reward airline for a ceasefire snapback. International route heavy = maximum war premium baked in. Moderate fuel hedging leaves significant upside on any oil pullback. Stronger balance sheet than AAL. Snapback speed: 1–3 days on headline. Options structure: UAL $95/$115 bull call spread — sell the elevated IV, define your risk.
$88 – $92
$110 – $115
$88
$94.52
Booking Holdings
Travel / TechnologyFastest and purest ceasefire snapback. Owns no planes, ships, or hotels — pure software that processes bookings. Zero fuel cost exposure. When fear dissipates, bookings surge within hours. Off 24% from 52-week high. Always recovers faster than anyone expects. Options structure: BKNG $4,500/$5,200 bull call spread.
$4,200 – $4,440
$5,200 – $5,500
$4,200
$4,440
American Airlines
AirlinesHighest fuel sensitivity of any airline — doesn't meaningfully hedge, so every $10/bbl crude drop is ~$500M in annual fuel cost relief. Highest upside, highest risk. Lottery-ticket sizing.
$9.50 – $11.50
$15 – $16
$9.50
$11.44
PPG Industries
IndustrialsPaint and coatings with near-total petroleum-derived inputs. Input cost relief is direct and fast on any oil pullback. Benefits from both oil price drop and housing/auto production recovery.
$102 – $108
$123 – $126
$102
$108
United Parcel Service
LogisticsEvery $10 WTI drop equals ~$0.50 EPS improvement. Near 52-week lows. Tier 1 ceasefire play — fastest fuel cost relief translation to P&L in the logistics space.
$94 – $100
$116 – $120
$94
$100